What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - October 31, 2022

Last week’s economic news included readings on home prices from S&P Case-Shiller home price indices along with sales of new homes and federal government data on inflation. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices: Home Price Growth Slows in August

U.S home prices fell by 9.8 percent year-over-year in August according to S&P Case-Shiller’s National Home Price Index. National home prices fell by -5.3 percent in July. The 20-City Home Price Index rose  13.1 percent year-over-year but reflected readings from markets that were stronger in 2021. Miami. Florida, Tampa, Florida, and Charlotte, North Carolina held the top three spots for home price gains.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported that home prices for homes owned or financed by the two government-sponsored mortgage organizations fell by -7.6 percent in August as compared to July’s reading of -7.3 percent.

The Commerce Department reported that new home sales fell by -10.9 percent to a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 603,000 sales from August’s revised reading of 677,000 sales. High home prices and rising mortgage rates sidelined prospective buyers concerned about affordability and mortgage qualification requirements. Homebuilders have repeatedly cited rising materials costs and rising mortgage rates as reasons for scaling back new home construction. The good news is that September’s reading surpassed analysts’ expected reading of 593,000 new home sales. Sales of previously owned homes fell to 4.71 million sales on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis as compared to the expected reading of 4.70 million sales and 4.78 million sales of previously-owned homes in August.

Mortgage Rates Top 7 Percent as New Jobless Claims Fall

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week as the rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose 14 basis points to 7.08 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.36 percent and were 13 basis points higher. Rates for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged 5.96 percent and rose 25 basis points. Discount points averaged 0.80 percent for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages and 1.40 percent for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. Discount points for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged 0.30 percent.

New jobless claims fell to 214,000 initial claims filed as compared to the previous week’s reading of 226,000 first-time claims filed and the expected reading of 230,000 first-time claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic news includes readings on construction spending, sales of previously-owned homes, and a statement from the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also scheduled to give a post-meeting press conference.

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices: U.S. Home Price Growth Slows in AugustU.S home price growth slowed for the second consecutive month in August according to S&P Case-Shiller’s national home price index. National home price growth fell by -9.8 percent year-over-year as compared to July’s year-over-year reading of  -5.3 percent. Home price growth slowed by -1.1 percent month-to-month from July to August.

Rising Mortgage Rates and Recession Worries Dampen Homebuyer Interest

The Mortgage Bankers Association forecasted a recession in 2023 and expects mortgage rates to fall to approximately 5.40 percent by the end of 2023. Mike Fratantini, senior vice president and chief economist at the MBA, said: “The upside of [a potential recession] for the industry is that it’s likely going to bring rates down a little bit.” Current rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are near seven percent; the MBA expects 30-year fixed mortgage rates to fall to approximately 5.40 percent by the end of 2023.

Rising mortgage rates coupled with high home prices created affordability concerns and challenged would-be buyers in meeting mortgage approval requirements. Less demand for homes caused home price growth to slow nationwide.

S&P Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index: August Home Price Growth Slows in All Cities

Home price growth peaked in April with a  national home price growth rate of 21.2 percent year-over-year, but slowed to a pace of 16.0 percent in July and 13.1 percent in August. The top three cities in the 20-City Index were Miami, Florida with 28.6 percent home price growth. Home prices rose by 28.0 percent in Tampa, Florida, and were 21.3 percent higher in Charlotte, North Carolina.

In related news, the Federal Housing Finance Agency released its House Price Index for August. Home prices for homes owned or financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell by -0.7 percent in August. This was the first time since March 2011 that the FHFA HPI decreased for two consecutive months.

Inventories of newly-built homes were higher than normal at a 9.2 months supply. Real estate pros typically consider a  six- months supply of homes for sale reflective of a balanced housing market.  Rising materials costs caused home builders to raise home prices; the median home price of a new home in August was $470,600 and 13.90 percent higher year-over-year, but some builders are reducing prices and offering buyer incentives on new homes as sales falter. 

What Do You Need To Know About Home Improvement Loans?Do you want to make some improvements to your house? Home improvements are a great way to make your home more functional, and can also add value to your home. At the same time, performing a home improvement project can be expensive, and that is where a home improvement loan can be helpful. What do you need to know about them?

The Eligibility Requirements

First, just like applying for a mortgage, there are eligibility criteria that you need to meet. The criteria can vary from lender to lender, so you need to talk to your lender to figure out what their requirements are. Some of the requirements include your income, assets, age, credit score, and equity in your home. Keep in mind that whether you are salaried or self-employed can also impact whether you can qualify for a home improvement loan.

The Loan Amount

You should also think about the total amount of money you have to borrow. Usually, you are given a maximum amount of money you are allowed to borrow based on many of the factors listed above. In general, your loan amount cannot exceed a specific loan-to-value (LTV) ratio based on the equity in your home. If you have a specific amount of money you have to borrow to complete your home improvement project, you should talk about this with the lender.

The Interest Rate

It is not unusual for the interest rate on a home improvement loan to be slightly higher than a typical mortgage. On the other hand, there are options where you can collateralize the home improvement loan to get a better interest rate. You may want to talk with the lender about your options to make sure you get as low of an interest rate as possible. It could save you thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.

Talk About Your Options With A Lender

In the end, these are just a few of the most important points you need to keep in mind if you are interested in taking out a home improvement loan. There are plenty of options available, so be sure to review the benefits and drawbacks of each option with your lender.

What Do You Need To Know About Home Improvement Loans?Do you want to make some improvements to your house? Home improvements are a great way to make your home more functional, and can also add value to your home. At the same time, performing a home improvement project can be expensive, and that is where a home improvement loan can be helpful. What do you need to know about them?

The Eligibility Requirements

First, just like applying for a mortgage, there are eligibility criteria that you need to meet. The criteria can vary from lender to lender, so you need to talk to your lender to figure out what their requirements are. Some of the requirements include your income, assets, age, credit score, and equity in your home. Keep in mind that whether you are salaried or self-employed can also impact whether you can qualify for a home improvement loan.

The Loan Amount

You should also think about the total amount of money you have to borrow. Usually, you are given a maximum amount of money you are allowed to borrow based on many of the factors listed above. In general, your loan amount cannot exceed a specific loan-to-value (LTV) ratio based on the equity in your home. If you have a specific amount of money you have to borrow to complete your home improvement project, you should talk about this with the lender.

The Interest Rate

It is not unusual for the interest rate on a home improvement loan to be slightly higher than a typical mortgage. On the other hand, there are options where you can collateralize the home improvement loan to get a better interest rate. You may want to talk with the lender about your options to make sure you get as low of an interest rate as possible. It could save you thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.

Talk About Your Options With A Lender

In the end, these are just a few of the most important points you need to keep in mind if you are interested in taking out a home improvement loan. There are plenty of options available, so be sure to review the benefits and drawbacks of each option with your lender.

Amortization: What you need to know about how your loan is paid offIf you own a home, you will see a lot of information about your payment schedule. It specifies exactly what payments you have to make, when you have to make them, and how much of each payment will go toward your principal and interest. This is called an amortization schedule, and it is typically designed in such a way that your last payment pays off your loan down to the penny. How does this impact the life of your loan?

Most Of Your First Few Payments Go Toward The Interest

During the first few years, the majority of each payment is going to be directed toward the interest that you owe. Then, as you pay off more of the loan, the balance will generally shift to the principal. By the end of your amortization schedule, almost all of your payments are going to go toward principal, with very little of each payment going toward interest. If you make additional payments ahead of schedule, those payments should go toward the principal on your loan.

How Lenders Calculate How Much You Owe

Your mortgage lender is going to collect a lot of information about your financial history. This might include your proof of employment, your credit score, and your bank statements. Then, they will calculate the interest rate on the loan. They will use this information to draw up an amortization table, figuring out how much interest you will pay every month based on your interest rate. Finally, your lender will figure out how much of each payment will be applied to your interest and principal.

Why An Amortization Schedule Matters For Your Mortgage

There are several reasons why your amortization schedule is so important. First, it dictates how quickly you build up equity in your home. The faster you build up equity, the more financial freedom you have. You might want to draw on your home equity for certain purchases down the road, and you want to maximize the amount of money you get back when you sell your house. Furthermore, your amortization schedule gives you peace of mind, knowing that your monthly payments are going to be the same over the life of the mortgage. 

What Do First-Time Homebuyers Need To Know?If you are purchasing a house for the first time, you are probably excited to imagine what your life might look like in a bunch of different houses. At the same time, the process can be a bit overwhelming. The housing market is competitive right now, the financing process can be confusing, and you might not know exactly what you are looking for. What are a few of the most important tips first-time home buyers need to know?

Reach Out To Experts For Help

First, you need to reach out to professionals who can help you during the process. For example, you should always reach out to a real estate agent with local knowledge. That way, they can help you figure out what house is best for your needs. You should also reach out to a local loan officer for a pre-approval letter. This will make your offer more competitive, and it will give you a budget with which to work.

Figure Out Your Down Payment

You need to figure out how much money you have for a down payment. If you are buying a house for the first time, you might be able to qualify for an FHA backed loan, which may allow you to purchase a house for less than 20 percent down. You may want to talk to an expert about how much money you should put towards your down payment versus how much money you should use to pay off other sources of debt. 

Keep Your Finances Stable During The Closing Process

After an offer has been accepted, you must make sure you keep your finances stable during the closing process. You do not want to pull money from your down payment for other big expenses, and you should not open any new credit cards. You should also try to avoid switching jobs during this time. Your loan officer will do a deep dive into your finances, and you must make sure everything is stable.

Get Ready To Buy A Home

Even though purchasing a house for the first time can be daunting, there are experts who can help you. As long as you have the right team behind you, you should find the right house to meet your needs.

 

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - October 24, 2022Last week’s economic reporting included readings from the National Association of Home Builders on national and regional  U.S. housing markets. The National Association of Realtors® reported on sales of previously-owned homes, and the Commerce Department released readings on building permits issued and housing starts. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

NAHB: Home Builder Confidence in Housing Market Falls for 10th Consecutive Month

The National Association of Home Builders reported that home builder confidence in the U.S housing market fell for the 8th consecutive month in October; the organization described the situation as “unsustainable.” The NAHB Housing Market Index, which is based on index readings from 1 to 100, fell to an index reading of 38 in October as compared to the expected reading of 44 and September’s reading of 46. NAHB index readings below 50 indicate that most builders are less confident about housing market conditions than are positive about the U.S  single-family housing market.

NAHB’s regional U.S housing market readings were mixed with the Northeast region reporting a one-point increase in homebuilder confidence in housing market conditions from an index reading of  47 to 48. Home builder confidence in the Midwest fell to a reading of 38 in October from September’s index reading of 42. Homebuilder confidence in housing markets in the South fell by 11 points to an index reading of 41 in October. Homebuilder confidence in housing market conditions lagged in the West from September’s reading of 34 to October’s index reading of 25. Rising mortgage rates and high home prices combined to quash homebuilder enthusiasm.

Existing Home Sales Fall in September

The National Association of Realtors® reported slower sales of previously-owned homes in September as compared to August. 4.71 million sales were reported in September on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. Previously-owned homes sold at a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 4.78 million sales in August. 

The Commerce Department reported that 1.56 million building permits were issued on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis in September Analysts expected a reading of 1.54 million permits issued, which was unchanged from August’s reading. In related news, 1.44 million housing starts were reported on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis in September. Analysts expected a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 1.47 million housing starts based on August’s seasonally-adjusted annual reading of 1.57 million housing starts.

Mortgage Rates Rise, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week, but they rose at a slower pace than in recent weeks. Rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.94 percent and were two basis points higher than in the previous week. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.23 percent and were 14 basis points higher. The average rate for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages fell by 10 basis points to 5.71 percent. Discount points averaged 0.90 percent for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages and 1.10 percent for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. Discount points for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged 0.40 percent.

Initial jobless claims fell last week with 214,000 new claims filed as compared to 226,000 first-time claims filed in the previous week. Analysts expected 230,000 new jobless claims to be filed. 1.39 million ongoing jobless claims were filed last week as compared to 1.36 million continuing claims filed in the previous week.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on U.S home prices, new and pending home sales, and inflation. The University of Michigan will issue its monthly reading on consumer sentiment and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.

Refinancing A Mortgage: How Does This Work?If your financial situation has changed, you might be interested in refinancing your mortgage. In general, refinancing means that you will replace your current mortgage with a new one. The process of refinancing is similar to the process of applying for a mortgage, but you need to think about your goals during the refinancing process. That way, you can put yourself in the best financial position to be successful.

Why RefinanceYour Mortgage?

There are several reasons why you might be interested in refinancing your mortgage. For example, you might want to tap into the equity in your home to cover another major financial expense. Or, if interest rates have gone down since you first took out your mortgage, you might want to save money by replacing your current loan with one that has a lower interest rate. You might also want to refinance your house in an effort to pay off the loan more quickly.

How Does The Refinancing Process Work?
During the refinancing process, your lender will do a deep dive into your financial history. They will take a look at your credit history and credit score. They will also analyze your payment history on your existing loan. Your lender will also take a look at your income, employment history, and total equity you have in your home. Your lender will also look at other sources of debt, such as a car loan or student loan.

Are There Any Drawbacks?
There are a few drawbacks you need to know. For example, if interest rates have gone up since you took out your mortgage, refinancing might not be the best choice. Furthermore, you may have to pay closing expenses again, which can be expensive. Finally, if you withdraw equity from your house, it can cause your monthly payment to go up; it could also lengthen the term of your loan by several years.

You should think carefully about whether refinancing your house is the best financial move. You need to consider your financial situation along with the current conditions in the real estate market. If you reach out to an expert, you can figure out what refinancing your home might mean for your mortgage.

 

What To Know About Flood InsuranceFlooding can happen in any location at any time. Even though many people associate floods with coastal properties, flooding can take place inland as well. That is why you always need to take a look at the map to figure out whether your property is located in a flood zone. There are some situations where your lender might require you to purchase flood insurance. What do you need to know?

What Is Protected And What Is Not?

When you purchase flood insurance, there are three broad components that you should examine. You need to check and see whether the policy covers the building, the contents of your home, and potential replacement expenses. Flood insurance policies generally insure any physical damage done to your house as well as any belongings you have inside your home. This might include your walls, household appliances, plumbing system, electrical system, clothing, and furniture.

On the other hand, most flood insurance policies do not cover your outdoor structures. For example, they will not protect your patio, swimming pool, fence, or vehicles parked outside the home.

What Is Your Flood Risk Level?

Your flood insurance premium will vary depending on where you are located. For example, if you are in a flood zone, your flood insurance premiums will probably be significantly higher; however, a significant percentage of flood claims occur in areas that are not located in a flood plain. While your premium should be lower, you may want to talk to your real estate agent to see whether it is worth it to purchase flood insurance.

Is Flood Insurance Required?

Flood insurance has its limitations, just like any other insurance policy. Therefore, you might be wondering whether it is required.

If it is required, it would be required by your lender. If your house is located in a flood zone, there is a significant chance that your lender will require you to purchase flood insurance as a requirement for financing. If you refuse to purchase flood insurance, then your lender might refuse to finance your property. You should always compare flood insurance premiums across different companies before you decide which one to go with. Be sure to compare policy coverage options and limitations as well. 

 

The Top Tips To Get Your Offer Accepted In A Seller's MarketThe housing market today is very competitive, and you might be wondering how you can get your offer accepted. If the seller has multiple offers on the table, it can be a bit of a challenge. Many people assume that the best way to get an offer accepted is to offer the most money. Even though that is certainly helpful, there are several other tips you should follow to make sure your offer is the one the seller picks.

Get Pre-Approved For A Mortgage

First, you must make sure that you get pre-approved for a mortgage. Unless you are paying cash for the home, you should talk to a local loan officer to get a pre-approval letter. You don’t have to go with that company once the dust settles, but you need to get a pre-approval letter from a lender. That way, the seller will know that you have a high chance of getting approved for the loan.

Offer More Earnest Money

If you are willing to offer more earnest money, that will make the seller more comfortable. The seller is always worried that the buyer might pull out on the offer, meaning that their home will go back on the market. If you increase the amount of earnest money you put down, the seller will feel more confident that you are serious about buying the home.

Give The Seller The Option To Rent Back

If the seller accepts your offer, you will have between four and six weeks before your first mortgage payment is due. Therefore, you won’t have any payments after closing for a while. If the seller is not ready to move yet, or if the seller has not found a new home, offer the seller an opportunity to rent the home back for free. This will give the seller more time to get everything in order before they move. 

Increase The Strength Of Your Offer

In a seller’s market, you need to make your offer stand out. Otherwise, you may have a difficult time finding a house, particularly if you cannot pay cash. If you follow these tips, you can increase your chances of having your offer picked by the seller.